V3 Research
Ethereum News Today: How AI Trading Assistants React
Ainvest
Ainvest reports Ethereum surpassing $4,900 as whales rotate $1.28 billion from BTC to ETH, shrinking exchange reserves and pointing to a potential supply shock that could extend the bullish trend.
Intellectia
Intellectia describes a whale using 5.42 million USDC to short ETH on Hyperliquid, leading to heightened trading volumes and coinciding with BlackRock buying 55,000 ETH, underscoring volatile yet growing institutional engagement.
Reddit
Reddit thread details a revived Bitcoin whale selling BTC, purchasing ETH spot, and opening large leveraged longs, suggesting significant capital rotation into Ethereum and potential market impact.
TradingView
TradingView analysis notes Ethereum’s new high near $5,000, subsequent dip to $4,700, and recovery to $4,800, framing key resistance at $4,300–4,340 and support zones toward $3,950.

Conclusion

Ethereum remains in price discovery after surpassing USD 4,900. The outlook is bullish, but intraday volatility is high. It is preferable to hold spot positions or buy dips toward USD 4.4-4.5k with strict risk control, aiming for targets above USD 5k in upcoming sessions 14151.

Event Snapshot & Market Drivers

  • Ether set new records close to USD 4,955 as exchange reserves hit multi-year lows. Additionally, whales rotated over USD 1.28 billion from Bitcoin to Ethereum, supporting a supply-shock narrative 11417.
  • The excitement over spot ETH ETFs, with eight products now approved, continues to draw fresh capital and helps Ethereum resist broader crypto downturns 101117.
  • On the contrary, flows exist such as a single whale shorting the market with 5.42 million USDC, which briefly increased volatility. Despite this, institutions like BlackRock accumulated during the dip 2.
ETH breaks to new all-time high 36

Technical & On-Chain Signals

  • TradingView charts indicate resistance at USD 4,300–4,340 and major support around USD 3,950. If USD 4,570 is not maintained, it could form a bearish channel 418.
  • CryptoPotato notes daily and 4-hour RSI bearish divergences, suggesting a possible pullback toward USD 4.1k unless USD 4.8k is reclaimed decisively 15.
  • IntoTheBlock reports declining exchange reserves and deflationary issuance post-Merge, which are structural positives for medium-term price action 9.
Flash-crash reminder: ETH drops 5 % 28

Trading Suggestions & Risk Management

  • Core Bias: Maintain a net-long position while Ethereum trades above USD 4.4k. Utilize dips due to forced liquidations, such as the recent 5% flash crash 2833.
  • Positioning: Favor spot or low-leverage futures and avoid aggressive long positions during weekend liquidity gaps noted by analysts 14.
  • Profit-Taking Zones: Consider partial exits near the psychological level of USD 5k and again at USD 5.4k–5.7k (the next Fibonacci cluster) based on Ainvest and Changelly projections 112.
  • Downside Alerts: Consider closing or hedging positions if daily closes break below USD 4.3k (previous breakout line) or if momentum indicators confirm bearish divergences 1518.

Forward Outlook

  • Macro catalysts, including ETF inflows and corporate treasury adoption, may sustain Ethereum's leadership over Bitcoin, as suggested by CNBC 17.
  • Longer-term models predict USD 6–7k in 2025 and potentially much higher figures later in the cycle, though movements will continue to be influenced by headlines and remain volatile 1219.
Disclaimer: This is informational analysis, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research.
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67 days ago