V3 Research
$WLFI Price Prediction at Official Launch

Conclusion

Based on the pre-market contract price of $0.20–$0.55, a 20% first-day unlock and only 5% circulating supply, WLFI is most likely to fall within the $0.25–$0.45 range during the first hour after opening; if buying pressure prevails, it could surge instantly to $0.55, whereas dominant sell pressure might see it retest $0.20 12121738.

1. Pre-market Prices and Off-exchange Signals

  • The primary perpetual contracts initially reported a price of $0.42, corresponding to a $40 billion FDV, demonstrating strong speculative interest 2.
  • Multiple sources including Yahoo Finance and CryptoDnes have recorded futures and off-exchange trading quotes in the $0.20–$0.30 range, forming the support below 116.
  • Binance and BlockBeats revealed a pre-market high of $0.55, which then halved to between $0.22 and $0.26, confirming the upper limit of the price range 123138.
  • The latest LBank IOU trades were around $0.45, while off-exchange tweets also indicate a market expectation of $0.3–$0.4 61137.

2. Circulating Supply and Unlock Structure

  • On the first day, only 5% of tokens will be in circulation, and the presale rounds at 0.015/0.05 will unlock 20% all at once, potentially creating selling pressure 34748.
  • Early investors still enjoy a 15- to 30-fold return on paper, so even if $0.22 represents a significant pullback, the incentive for short-term profit-taking remains strong 173038.
  • The subsequent linear unlock over 12 to 36 months (with the community debating a lower initial ratio) will determine the medium-term supply dynamics 50.

3. Valuation Benchmarking and Demand Drivers

  • At $0.25, this corresponds to roughly a $25 billion FDV, which remains higher than established public chains like Solana and TRON, prompting debates over potential overvaluation 1031.
  • With only 5% circulating combined with the Trump branding effect and a "Ponzi-style" tokenomics, there might be a short-term supply-demand mismatch that drives the price up 219.
  • Analyst firms and exchanges have set bullish targets between $0.75 and $1, although there are also extreme bearish forecasts as low as $0.0001, with such divergence intensifying volatility 8133542.

4. Opening Scenario Simulation

  1. Base Scenario (55% probability): Opens at approximately $0.30, surging briefly to $0.40–$0.45 before retreating to around $0.28 by the close, due to relatively balanced buying and selling forces 1238.
  2. Bullish Scenario (25%): Continuous buying pressure coupled with FOMO pushes the price to between $0.50 and $0.55; unlocked tokens emerge later due to slippage, followed by a period of oscillation 1219.
  3. Bearish Scenario (20%): Early tokens are dumped collectively, and the price quickly falls below $0.25, touching the $0.20 support; if liquidity is insufficient, there is a possibility of a temporary market cap drop below $1 billion 101731.
Overall, the first day’s price range is wide and fraught with risk, so short-term traders should strictly manage leverage and monitor trading volume and sell order depth before entering a position 33233.
4 days ago